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☆ Immigrant workers are helping boost the U.S. labor market
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Kate Rogers | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The strong jobs market has been bolstered post-pandemic by strength in the immigrant workforce in America. And as Americans age out of the labor force and birth rates remain low, economists and the Federal Reserve are touting the importance of immigrant workers for overall future economic growth. Immigrant workers made up 18.6% of the workforce last year, a new record, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. Despite the U.S. adding fewer-than-expected jobs in April, the labor force participation rate for foreign-born workers ticked up slightly, to 66%. "We don't have enough workers participating in the labor force and our birth rate has dropped down 2% last year from 2022 to 2023.

Persons: Jennie Murray, Phillip Swagel, Swagel Organizations: Federal, of Labor Statistics, Workers, National Immigration, Congressional Locations: America

☆ Airbnb's new chief business officer shares his top priorities for hosts and travelers
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-23 | by ( Ian Thomas | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

As Airbnb's recently appointed chief business officer, Dave Stephenson is playing a crucial role in the company's future growth plans. He's also filling another role that is critical to that growth: an Airbnb host. An avid skier and hiker, Stephenson is quick to share details of the best trails with his guests. Airbnb is also looking to expand its services, making it easier to be a host as well as a guest. That could include helping hosts facilitate check-ins or helping them get the items they need for guests, like linens.

Persons: Airbnb's, Dave Stephenson, He's, Stephenson, Brian Chesky, Chesky, Airbnb Organizations: Airbnb, CBO, Netflix Locations: Ankara, Turkiye, Amazon, Seattle , Washington, that's, Germany, South Korea, Brazil, Bavaria, Washington

☆ US debt: Is America at risk of a Liz Truss-style market meltdown? The CBO thinks so
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Hanna Ziady | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

In an interview with the Financial Times, CBO director Phillip Swagel said US government debt — which the Treasury Department puts at nearly $35 trillion — is on an “unprecedented” trajectory. UK government bonds, or gilts, and the pound sold off sharply, partly in response to plans by Truss to issue more debt in order to pay for tax cuts. Mortgage rates and other borrowing costs soared as investors demanded much higher premiums for owning UK debt. He has promised to extend his 2017 tax cuts and has also spoken about reducing the corporate tax rate from the current 21% to 15%. “I will make the Trump tax cuts the largest tax cut in history,” he said last month at the Black Conservative Federation’s Honors Gala in South Carolina.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Liz, ”, Truss, ” Swagel, Dave Ramsden, Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden, Fitch, “, Trump Organizations: London CNN, Congressional, Financial Times, Treasury Department, CNN, Bank of England, Democrats, Trump, Black Conservative, US Treasury, Federal, CBO Locations: United States, United Kingdom, South Carolina

☆ Runaway government debt could sink markets and slam the economy, 2 watchdogs warn
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-26 | by ( Theron Mohamed | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The US government's ballooning interest payments are eating a hole in its budget, they said. "We are headed toward record spending levels, record deficit levels, record debt levels, record interest payments — the list goes and on," Maya MacGuineas, the president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, told Fox Business this week. While the US isn't at imminent risk of that kind of chaos, bond markets could "snap back" if the government's interest payments soar to $1 trillion in 2026 as expected, Swagel said. AdvertisementHowever, she noted that some experts on Wall Street were "incredibly worried" about the national debt and interest payments. DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach has also sounded the alarm on debt payments.

Persons: —, MacGuineas, Philip Swagel, Liz Truss, Swagel, bitcoin, Jim Rogers, George Soros, He's, Jeffrey Gundlach Organizations: Investors, Service, Federal Budget, Fox Business, Congressional, Office, Financial Times, Bank of, CBO, Wall, DoubleLine

☆ Surging immigration will boost the US labor force and send GDP higher, Goldman says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

"Elevated immigration has boosted labor force growth and, by extension, potential GDP growth," Goldman Sachs said. The bank boosted its 2024 GDP forecast in a note on Sunday, arguing that a jump in labor force growth via elevated immigration will drive the US economy higher. "Elevated immigration has boosted labor force growth and, by extension, potential GDP growth," Goldman Sachs said. Advertisement"We expect immigration to be about 1mn higher than usual this year, implying breakeven job growth of around 125k and a 0.3pp boost to potential GDP growth in 2024 from faster labor force growth," Walker said. Advertisement"Our estimates imply that above-trend immigration will boost potential GDP growth by 0.3pp in 2024.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, Ronnie Walker, Walker Organizations: Service Locations: America

☆ Undocumented immigrants are boosting the labor market and helping the US avoid recession, experts say
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-12 | by ( Aruni Soni | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Undocumented immigration has boosted the labor market, helping steer the US away from a recession, some experts say. Morgan Stanley's chief US economist has also recently cited undocumented immigration as a positive labor-market force. AdvertisementHere's a question that's been lurking beneath the stellar economic resilience in the US: how has the labor market stayed so strong? "It has boosted the labor force, it has boosted supply for labor, it has boosted job gains. AdvertisementThe labor market has recorded gains stronger than that, posting an addition of 275,000 jobs in February.

Persons: Morgan Stanley's, —, Wendy Edelberg, Tara Watson, Watson, Ellen Zentner, Zentner Organizations: Brookings Institution, Service, Congressional, Office, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bloomberg, Brookings

☆ Immigration is 'taking pressure off' the job market and U.S. economy, expert says
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-02 | by ( Greg Iacurci | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, said the increase in foreign-born workers is "taking pressure off the economy." The growth in foreign-born workers comes amid a contentious immigration policy debate in the U.S. Immigrants' share of the labor force has increased since 1996, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics began collecting such data. A growing population and labor force are key components of a healthy economy and the nation's ability to pay its bills, economists said. In other words, the economy is both absorbing immigrants and generating job opportunities for U.S.-born workers, the institute said.

Persons: Mark Zandi, it's, Alejandro Mayorkas, John Moore, Muzaffar Chishti, Jack Malde, Qian Weizhong, Steven Camarota, Camarota, Paul Ratje, Eric Thayer, Malde, EPI, Zandi, There's, Luis Alvarez Organizations: U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Moody's, Republicans, U.S, Department of Homeland, U.S . Border Patrol, U.S . Department of Homeland, Getty, Migration Policy Institute, CNBC, Foreign, U.S . Immigrants, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Pew Research Center, Social Security, Congressional, Office, Center, Immigration, . Border Patrol, Getty Images, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Center for Immigration Studies, Afp, Bloomberg, Economic Policy Institute, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine, Digitalvision Locations: U.S, Mexico, Eagle Pass , Texas, San Diego , California, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Paso, Ciudad Juarez , Mexico, Los Angeles

☆ Interest on national debt could threaten U.S. economic stability, CBO director tells House panel
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-14 | by ( Ryan Anastasio | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CBO Director Phillip Swagel testifies during the House Budget Committee hearing titled "The Congressional Budget Office's Budget and Economic Outlook," in Longworth Building on Wednesday, February 14, 2024. The director of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office warned House lawmakers Wednesday that the ballooning national debt and the cost of paying interest on it could become an existential threat to the U.S. economy. "Rising interest costs will crowd out other possible uses of government resources, and then also pose a risk to our economic stability" in the coming decade, CBO director Phillip Swagel told the budget committee at a hearing on Capitol Hill. Swagel's testimony centered around CBO's semi-annual report on the federal budget and the economy, released Feb. 7. The CBO report projected that the yearly U.S. budget deficit would grow by an estimated $1 trillion over the next 10 years.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Swagel, Kevin McCarthy, Dan Kildee, Donald Trump's, Joe Biden's Organizations: Economic, Capitol, CBO, Republicans, GOP, Democrat, Congress Locations: Longworth, U.S, CBO's, Michigan

☆ CBO Director Phillip Swagel: U.S. deficit projected to climb to $2.6 trillion in 2034
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO Director Phillip Swagel: U.S. deficit projected to climb to $2.6 trillion in 2034CBO Director Phillip Swagel joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of U.S. debt, the agency's deficit forecast, the impact of IRS tax enforcement on revenue collection, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel Locations: U.S

☆ The US economy will grow by an extra $7 trillion over the next decade due to immigration, the CBO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The US economy will grow by an extra $7 trillion over the next decade, according to estimates from the CBO. "The labor force in 2033 is larger by 5.2 million people, mostly because of higher net immigration. AdvertisementThe CBO also found that net immigration has risen since 2022, and it expects it to remain elevated through 2026. The US labor force is expected to surge over the next decade thanks to strong net immigration trends. Another knock-on effect of America's net immigration trends is its impact on the housing market, since it should result in continued demand for new homes.

Persons: Phillip Swagel, Swagel, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: CBO, Congressional, Office, Immigrants Locations: Japan, America

☆ Federal budget deficit expected to soar to $2.6 trillion in 2034, CBO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Tami Luhby | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —The federal budget deficit will balloon from $1.6 trillion this fiscal year to $2.6 trillion in fiscal year 2034, according to the latest Congressional Budget Office outlook released Wednesday. A major reason for the widening gap between revenue and spending: a spike in net interest payments on the federal debt due to higher interest rates. The nation’s debt held by the public is expected to rise to a record 116% of the economy by 2034. CBO’s deficit projection will likely add pressure to congressional lawmakers who have yet to agree on funding for federal agencies for fiscal year 2024. Budget experts called on Congress to take action to address the nation’s worsening fiscal situation.

Persons: MacGuineas, they’ve, Mike Johnson, ” Michael Peterson, Peter G Organizations: CNN, Congressional, Social Security, Medicare, CBO, GOP, Capitol, Federal, House Republicans, Peterson Foundation

☆ CBO: Deficit to grow from $1.6T in 2024 to $2.6T in 2034
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCBO: Deficit to grow from $1.6T in 2024 to $2.6T in 2034CNBC's Megan Cassella joins 'Power Lunch' to report on the CBO deficit numbers.

Persons: Megan Cassella Organizations: CBO

☆ Budget office projects Biden green energy plan will cost much more than initial estimate
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-07 | by ( Chelsey Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

WASHINGTON — The U.S. budget deficit will grow by an estimated $1 trillion over the next 10 years, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projected in a new report Wednesday. "I came to office determined to ... face the existential threat of climate and still grow, to fundamentally change our economy, and to transition this country to a clean energy future," Biden said last October. Taken together, CBO estimates that the impact of new emissions standards, clean energy tax credits and falling gas tax revenue as people buy less gas, will add $25 billion to the budget deficit this year. "Those costs reflect new emissions standards, market developments, and actions taken by the administration to implement the tax provisions." The CBO also noted that there are still many unknowns about how green energy will impact the economy and the federal budget longer term.

Persons: WASHINGTON, Joe Biden's, Biden, Philip Swagel, EPA's Organizations: CBO, Environmental Protection Agency Locations: The, U.S

Two major factors are behind the decline in the budget deficit this year, each of them one-off events that reflect the challenge for lawmakers in trying to close the growing gap between tax revenues and spending. Second, tax revenues are expected to increase because of better returns on financial investments and the collection of taxes from last year that the government postponed because of natural disasters. Over the next decade, the cumulative budget deficits will be 7% smaller than the nonpartisan CBO forecast last year. For instance, this time last year, the office projected the unemployment rate would jump to 4.7% in 2023, while the current unemployment rate is 3.7%. The CBO anticipates that the unemployment rate will hit 4.4% at the end of 2024.

Persons: Joe Biden, Joe Biden’s, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Jerome Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Congressional, Congressional Republicans, Social Security, CBO, Republicans

REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 17 (Reuters) - Rising U.S. government debt and fiscal deficits that have helped lift government bond yields this year will likely become secondary factors for investors, as their focus shifts to economic fundamentals, Citi analysts said. "Our baseline is that over time investors accept these fiscal risks as a fact of life and that ultimately it is not supply and demand that determine Treasury yields but it's more about the fundamentals of the economy," he said. Moody's, which last week lowered its outlook on U.S. credit, expects the government to continue to run wide fiscal deficits due to increased spending and higher debt interest payments. Some Fed officials have also said rising bond yields, which make access to credit more expensive, could be a substitute for increasing interest rates further. "There is going to be an extraction of higher yields from these investors," cautioned Mathai.

Persons: Shannon Stapleton, Fitch, Moody's, Nathan Sheets, Ray Dalio, Jabaz Mathai, Mathai, Davide Barbuscia, Ira Iosebashvili, Diane Craft Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Citi, Office, Associates, CNBC, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ The deficit would still be wide even if rates went down, says CBO Director Phillip Swagel
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe deficit would still be wide even if rates went down, says CBO Director Phillip SwagelPhillip Swagel, Congressional Budget Office Director, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss the state of the deficit, its outlook, and more.

Persons: Phillip Swagel Phillip Swagel, Steve Liesman Organizations: Congressional

☆ The US minimum wage has been $7.25 since 2009. What that means for the economy
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-11 | by ( Samantha Delouya | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Efforts to raise federal minimum pay have fallen flatHowever, despite numerous efforts, raising the federal minimum wage above $7.25 an hour has been unsuccessful. Lagging the rising cost of livingIn many ways, the federal minimum wage seems like a relic of the past. Recent wage gains could be lostThe actual economic impact of a federal minimum wage increase is heavily debated. “The new conventional wisdom is that at least a moderate minimum wage increase has minimal effects on employment,” Reich told CNN. “But this new paper says that a really big minimum wage increase actually increases employment.”

Persons: Ken Rose, he’s, ” Rose, Sandy, ”, Michael Reich, Biden’s, ” Yannet Lathrop, Lathrop, Alex Wong, hasn’t, Rose, “, ” Ken Rose, Ken Rose Joe Bishop, ” Bishop, Reich, ” Reich Organizations: Los Angeles CNN, Tiburon Fine, CNN, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic, Institute, Dynamics, University of California, Democrats, National Employment, U.S, Capitol, United Auto Workers, United, Walmart, Costco, Starbucks, Tiburon, Congressional Locations: Sandy , Utah, American, Berkeley, Washington ,, United States, Amazon, Utah, Louisville , Kentucky, Louisville, Jefferson County , Kentucky

U.S. Federal Reserve officials are puzzling over why bond borrowing rates spiked lately even as Fed policy expectations have remained largely unchanged. Whether a resurfacing "term premium'" now demanded to buy and hold longer-term bonds, is responsible is central to the conundrum. Britain's brief budget and debt shock late last year and the way the Bank of England was forced to react was perhaps a taster. "Once current debt has been refinanced and the average interest on debt reflects the higher long rates, absent changes in policy, debt ratios will increase," Blanchard wrote. US debt costs soarRates minus Growth hits budget mathCBO's long-term debt projectionsDYSFUNCTION AND EXPLOSIONThere were tinges of optimism though.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Olivier Blanchard, Washington's, Blanchard, it's, Morgan Stanley, Mike Dolan, Marguerita Choy Organizations: REUTERS, . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, International Monetary Fund, Washington's Peterson Institute for International Economics, U.S, Congressional, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, United States, Europe

☆ Rich countries are stumbling into a debt trap
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Felix Martin | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +7 min

Unlike many corporations and households, the U.S. government did not lock in the low interest rates of the last decade by issuing long-dated debt, preferring instead to skew funding towards bills and short-term bonds. The second route out of the debt trap is to target the primary fiscal surplus, choosing a combination of spending cuts and tax hikes that will stabilise the public debt. That leaves the third route to debt sustainability – keeping real interest rates low. But in the short run, it allows a government to tame the debt ratio without fiscal austerity, and even if growth is sluggish. Governments are indeed stuck in a classic debt trap.

Persons: Joe Biden, Fumio Kishida, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, Kacper, Everett Dirksen, you’re, Dirksen’s, Stanley Druckenmiller, Joe Biden’s, Peter Thal Larsen, Thomas Shum Organizations: Japan's, NATO, REUTERS, Reuters, Congressional, Office, International Monetary Fund, U.S, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Medicaid, Federal, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: Ukraine, Vilnius, Lithuania, Illinois, U.S, Britain

☆ Japan’s rates tweak is careful and crafty: podcast
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Aimee Donnellan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: 1 min

Breakingviews category · November 3, 2023 · 6:06 AM UTC“A billion here, a billion there”, Illinois Senator Everett Dirksen reputedly said of the U.S. budget deficit in the mid-1960s, “and pretty soon, you’re talking big money". The senator would need to do some swift recalibrations were he confronted with today’s American public finances. Last month, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) reported that the federal budget deficit for the fiscal year ending September 30 had hit $1.7 trillion. Shortly afterwards, the International Monetary Fund forecast that the deficit will continue at the same level for at least the next five years. Meanwhile, government debt has tripled since the senator’s day to around 120% of GDP.

Persons: Everett Dirksen, you’re Organizations: Congressional, Office, International Monetary Fund Locations: Illinois

☆ House gears up to vote on $14.3 billion in Israel aid, setting up showdown with Senate
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-02 | by ( Clare Foran | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has called the House GOP bill a “deeply flawed proposal” that the Senate will not take it up. Democrats have called for aid to Israel to be paired with additional security assistance for Ukraine in its war against Russia. In the Senate, there is bipartisan support for aid to Israel and further aid to Ukraine. But in the House, many Republicans are opposed to sending more aid to Ukraine, putting the two chambers at odds. In an attempt to offset the cost of the $14.3 billion in Israel aid, the House bill would rescind $14.3 billion in funding for the Internal Revenue Service.

Persons: Hamas –, Mike Johnson, Chuck Schumer, ” Schumer, Schumer, ” Johnson, that’s, you’ve, “ we’re, they’re, CNN’s Haley Talbot, Kristin Wilson, Mel Zanona Organizations: Hamas, Democratic, GOP, Internal Revenue Service, Ukraine, IRS Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Russia, Gaza, Washington, “ Ukraine

☆ US House Speaker Johnson to bring Israel bill to floor despite deficit risk
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson said on Wednesday he plans to hold a vote on a standalone Israel aid bill despite a Congressional Budget Office report showing it could increase the federal deficit. In the first major legislative action under Johnson, House Republicans unveiled their bill on Monday seeking to provide $14.3 billion for Israel by cutting Internal Revenue Service (IRS) funding. The House could vote on the bill and pass it with Republican support as soon as Thursday. The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said on Wednesday that the IRS cuts and the Israel aid in the standalone bill would add nearly $30 billion to the U.S. budget deficit, currently estimated at $1.7 trillion. To become law, any legislation must pass the House, the Senate and be signed into law by Biden.

Persons: Mike Johnson, Nathan Howard, Johnson, Joe Biden's, Josh Hawley, " Johnson, Biden, Johnson's, Chuck Schumer, David Morgan, Patricia Zengerle, Dan Whitcomb, Katharine Jackson, Scott Malone, Rod Nickel Organizations: U.S, Capitol, REUTERS, Rights, . House, House Republicans, Revenue Service, Democratic, White, Israel, Kyiv, Fox News, Office, CBO, Senate, Democrat, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel, China, Ukraine, Iran, Gaza, East

Speaking at this week's global finance meeting in Riyadh, HSBC boss Noel Quinn warned of a potential "tipping point on fiscal deficits" for a number of countries across the world. And some analysts fear the uncertainty of next year's funding crush is filtering out the steepening yield curve via the term premium. Term premium at highest in 8 yearsReuters GraphicsCBO long-term US debt and deficit projections'DOOM LOOP'? That's spooky enough, until you start to factor in the recent yield spike and or a return of the term premium to 60-year averages of 150 bp. Tipping point or not, there's a danger the market is starting crystallise the problem it fears most.

Persons: Sukree, Noel Quinn, it's, that's, Stephen Jen, Jen, Goldman Sachs, Jeremy Hunt, Mike Dolan Organizations: HSBC, New York Fed, Federal Reserve, Fed, JPMorgan, Treasury, CBO, Moody's, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Kasikornbank, Bangkok, Riyadh, U.S, Washington, Europe, Italy

☆ IMF fiscal chief: U.S., China must rein in debt, face different challenges
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( David Lawder | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

IMF Director of Fiscal Affairs Vitor Gaspar speaks to reporters at the headquarters of the International Monetary Fund in Washington, U.S., October 12, 2022. Continuing along their projected fiscal paths will ultimately cause difficulties for the world's two largest economies, Gaspar told Reuters in an interview. The U.S. and China are fueling a projected return to higher debt levels after two years of falling debt-to-GDP ratios as a post-COVID growth surge fades. DEFICITS RISINGGaspar said the challenge for the United States was persistently high and growing budget deficits. GROWTH FADESChina faces different challenges, the largest of which is slowing economic growth.

Persons: Vitor Gaspar, James Lawler Duggan, Gaspar, David Lawder, John Stonestreet Organizations: Fiscal, International Monetary Fund, REUTERS, Rights, Monetary Fund Fiscal, Reuters, U.S, Congressional Budget Office, Social, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Rights MARRAKECH, Morocco, U.S, China, United States, Washington

Re-enter risk premia on what should be 'risk free' bonds. The renewed corporate profits upswing riffs off this relatively robust nominal growth picture too - as do still benign corporate debt premia. However, keeping a lid on 5% nominal GDP may well be what's irking bonds as much as anything. While turning 10-year averages takes some time, nominal GDP growth according to a real time model from the Atlanta Fed is closer to 8% right now. CBO deficit projections to 2030US nominal GDP growth running at 8%?

Persons: York Fed's, Ajay Rajadhyaksha, today's, Treasuries, Fitch, Andrew Heavens Organizations: Treasury, Federal, Fed, The, Barclays, Societe Generale's, Atlanta Fed, Moody's, U.S . AAA, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, York, 35bp, 150bp, Treasuries, China, Europe

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